R² Variation In Practical Terms
Yesterday we took the dive of looking at what R² means in relation to the studies we were using for sources. We now understand that R² does not speak for the accuracy of the test to determine between types of kava, but only to variation, and the regression model in question.
Today we’re going to speak about why this number isn’t higher in the tests we’ve been looking at. Essentially we’re addressing what’s causing the absorbance to be higher in some cases when the kava may actually not have high FK levels. In short, we’re addressing the very variation we spoke about yesterday in our R²=0.5211 topic.
Variation in Test Results?
Kava is a rich mixture of a number of different phytochemicals and compounds. No less than 30 different molecules have been identified from the roots, including nineteen kavalactones, three flavokavains, and eight minor compounds [1]. Acetone is used in this preparation due to its strong ability to dissolve fats and oils and compounds which don’t mix well with water. Acetone’s ability to extract compounds doesn’t stop at kavalactones and FKs, and can also remove other compounds in the plant. Unidentified pigments in the peelings and chlorophyll are also extracted by strong solvents. These other compounds can cause a variation in the resulting absorbance (V. Lebot, personal communication, May 18, 2021). This tells us that poor preparation can also cause a dark result (higher absorbance) in the acetonic test. For example Isa, if only the rhizome is used and it is peeled meticulously, when tested, the absorbance spectra will say the kava is noble. This is suspected to be due to high FK content in the peelings.
What does this mean?
Kavas that result in a high absorbance have several possible categories instead of simply high quality and low quality due to the variables in the coefficient of determination. These classifications are:
For When the Absorbance is high (strong color result)
What this tells us is that if a kava returns a poor result from a colorimeter with the acetonic test, it’s best to send that sample to a lab which uses HPLC or another accepted analytical method to determine exactly what is going on with that sample. Just as we’ve said before, this test is excellent to make a quick initial determination of product quality.
Does this method work at home?
Here’s where we get into some problems where others have raised issues before. You can run this test yourself at home with kavas, however our eyes are NOT colorimeters. The difference between noble kava and wild kavas in terms of acetonic tests is stark and quite obvious to the untrained eye. The difference between some 100% noble kavas and some non-noble kavas can be very slight. Unless you’re superhuman, I doubt one can identify exactly the wavelength of light by looking at it. It’s best to let the machines make the determinations here.
Summary:
There is a misunderstanding that coefficient of determination means “overall accuracy of this test”. It does not. The acetonic test is actually quite accurate, but, as mentioned, does have its shortcomings. This is a relatively new science with kava, and as we go forward researchers will continue to add more and more evidence towards the viability of this test just as we’ve seen here.
Lebot, V., T. K. T. Do, and L. Legendre. 2014. “Detection of Flavokavins (A, B, C) in Cultivars of Kava (Piper Methysticum) Using High Performance Thin Layer Chromatography (HPTLC).” Food Chemistry 151 (May): 554–60.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodchem.2013.11.120.
Yesterday we took the dive of looking at what R² means in relation to the studies we were using for sources. We now understand that R² does not speak for the accuracy of the test to determine between types of kava, but only to variation, and the regression model in question.
Today we’re going to speak about why this number isn’t higher in the tests we’ve been looking at. Essentially we’re addressing what’s causing the absorbance to be higher in some cases when the kava may actually not have high FK levels. In short, we’re addressing the very variation we spoke about yesterday in our R²=0.5211 topic.
Variation in Test Results?
Kava is a rich mixture of a number of different phytochemicals and compounds. No less than 30 different molecules have been identified from the roots, including nineteen kavalactones, three flavokavains, and eight minor compounds [1]. Acetone is used in this preparation due to its strong ability to dissolve fats and oils and compounds which don’t mix well with water. Acetone’s ability to extract compounds doesn’t stop at kavalactones and FKs, and can also remove other compounds in the plant. Unidentified pigments in the peelings and chlorophyll are also extracted by strong solvents. These other compounds can cause a variation in the resulting absorbance (V. Lebot, personal communication, May 18, 2021). This tells us that poor preparation can also cause a dark result (higher absorbance) in the acetonic test. For example Isa, if only the rhizome is used and it is peeled meticulously, when tested, the absorbance spectra will say the kava is noble. This is suspected to be due to high FK content in the peelings.
What does this mean?
Kavas that result in a high absorbance have several possible categories instead of simply high quality and low quality due to the variables in the coefficient of determination. These classifications are:
For When the Absorbance is high (strong color result)
- The kava is: Non-noble / Non-beverage grade
- The kava is: Noble, but has not been properly peeled or has contaminants such as soil or upper portions of the kava plant mixed in.
- The kava is: Non-noble and has not been properly peeled or has contaminants such as soil or upper portions of the plant mixed in.
- The kava is: Noble consisting of a high proportion of proximal lateral roots of certain varieties.
- The kava is: Noble or Non-noble and has been dried at an excessively high oven temperature.
(#4 & #5 added with the help of @verticity)
For when the absorbance is low (Very yellow result)(Clarification thanks to @verticity)
- The kava is: Noble and properly peeled (most likely)
- The kava is: Non-Noble with low FK content and properly peeled (less likely but entirely possible)
What this tells us is that if a kava returns a poor result from a colorimeter with the acetonic test, it’s best to send that sample to a lab which uses HPLC or another accepted analytical method to determine exactly what is going on with that sample. Just as we’ve said before, this test is excellent to make a quick initial determination of product quality.
Does this method work at home?
Here’s where we get into some problems where others have raised issues before. You can run this test yourself at home with kavas, however our eyes are NOT colorimeters. The difference between noble kava and wild kavas in terms of acetonic tests is stark and quite obvious to the untrained eye. The difference between some 100% noble kavas and some non-noble kavas can be very slight. Unless you’re superhuman, I doubt one can identify exactly the wavelength of light by looking at it. It’s best to let the machines make the determinations here.
Summary:
There is a misunderstanding that coefficient of determination means “overall accuracy of this test”. It does not. The acetonic test is actually quite accurate, but, as mentioned, does have its shortcomings. This is a relatively new science with kava, and as we go forward researchers will continue to add more and more evidence towards the viability of this test just as we’ve seen here.
Lebot, V., T. K. T. Do, and L. Legendre. 2014. “Detection of Flavokavins (A, B, C) in Cultivars of Kava (Piper Methysticum) Using High Performance Thin Layer Chromatography (HPTLC).” Food Chemistry 151 (May): 554–60.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodchem.2013.11.120.
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